What happens If Trump wins

2024 - 11 - 6

If Trump Wins, Is It Party Time for the Looney?

Canada - Canadian dollar - Donald Trump - economy - NAFTA - politics - trade agreements - US relations

What could a Trump win mean for the Canadian dollar? Spoiler alert: it's not looking good!

As the political scene heats up in the U.S., discussions around Donald Trump’s potential win loom large. Economists, analysts, and the everyday Canadian are all bracing themselves for the implications of a possible Trump victory. Among these discussions, David Rosenberg, a well-known economist, posits that if Trump were to emerge victorious in the upcoming elections—especially with a Republican sweep of Congress—the Canadian dollar may face substantial challenges. The looney, once a symbol of Canadian pride, could be in for a bumpy roller coaster ride, akin to the rides at Canada's Wonderland, except with far less fun and a lot more anxiety.

Canada and the U.S. share a complex economic relationship that makes the Canadian dollar particularly sensitive to changes in U.S. political leadership. Should Trump win, Rosenberg notes that his previous policies, which often catered to energy interests and challenged Canadian trade agreements, could resurface with greater intensity. A resurgence of tariffs or erosion of NAFTA would send shivers down the spine of the Canadian economy. In simpler terms, if America sneezes, Canada catches a cold—and in this case, it could be a nasty bug.

The uncertainties of trade agreements and economic policy shifts under a Trump-led government could lead to increased volatility in the currency markets. Investors might pull back from the looney, opening the floodgates to fluctuations in value that could make daily transactions as exciting as a game of musical chairs—hoping you have a seat when the music stops. And while Canada enjoys its thriving resource sector, uncertainties in U.S. energy policy could put those profits on ice, much like winter in the Great White North.

In addition, amidst this storm of political and economic headwinds, let’s not forget the psychic toll on Canadian citizens who might experience a wave of anxiety over their economy’s health. We might even witness an uptick in Canadian-themed memes, as social media users try to laugh off impending doom. Whether it’s about the Canadian dollar’s plunge or potential economic fallout from the south, Canadians always seem to have a knack for finding humor in the darkest of times.

In closing, let's sprinkle in some fun facts: Did you know that the Canadian dollar was once pegged to the British pound in 1931? How quirky is that? Plus, for those mulling over politics, studies show that uncertainty in preferences regarding U.S. leadership can reflect within the Canadian political arena—a peculiar political dance goes on that’s both amusing and daunting!

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Image courtesy of "Delta-Optimist"

David Rosenberg: If Donald Trump wins, the Canadian dollar is in ... (Delta-Optimist)

If there is to be one casualty from a Donald Trump win (especially a GOP sweep on Congress), it is the Canadian dollar — which has already been under ...

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