We go over some of the best betting options for Saturday's matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors.
At home, the Warriors are 13th in points allowed but they are 29th on the road in points allowed. The Warriors are averaging 119.4 points per game at home, which ranks seventh in the league for all teams at home. The Bucks have been solid on the road but are 4-7-1 ATS as road underdogs. Both teams are priced at -110 on the moneyline. The Bucks have won three in a row despite some stars being sidelined, while the Warriors dropped three on a road after winning five in a row at home. The total is 240.5.
Matt Moore previews how to bet Bucks vs. Warriors, including updated odds, picks & predictions for Saturday's game.
The issue with the Warriors on the road is their defense. the unmovable object (the Warriors at home where the under hits). The Warriors rank 28th in shots-at-rim frequency, but the Bucks are the third-best defensive team at the rim. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. The Warriors are also the fifth-best team in the last 20 years at home at 65% ATS. The Warriors will need to beat the Bucks from the perimeter, given the Bucks’ size and strength advantage. Equally notable, the under is 15-5 (75%) when the Bucks are favored on the road. Golden State is the worst team in the last 20 years on the road covering just 28% of their games. 1 (110.1) and are tied for the best Defensive Rating this season with the Cleveland Cavaliers (109.6). They’re seventh in eFG% this season and are fourth to last in points in the paint per 100 possessions, which is surprising for an Antetokounmpo-led team. Their defense blots out the sun; they have the best Boston [Celtics](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/boston-celtics) series gone differently, these very well could have been the last two teams standing in June.
Get the latest Bucks vs Warriors predictions, Steph Curry props, and Giannis injury updates. Stay informed for the upcoming NBA game with our expert ...
SportsLine's model just revealed its NBA picks for Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks.
[Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Bucks vs. The model has simulated Bucks vs. The model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to [see its picks.](https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/warriors-vs-bucks-odds-line-spread-proven-model-reveals-nba-picks-predictions-for-mar-11-2023/#ttag=03112023_agg_cbssports_picks_basketball_nba_model_WarriorsBucksNBAauto) Here are several [NBA betting lines](https://www.sportsline.com/nba/odds) for Warriors vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. [Andrew Wiggins](/nba/players/2135571/andrew-wiggins/) (personal) and [Gary Payton II](/nba/players/2266964/gary-payton-ii/) (abdominal) are both going to be out on Saturday. Milwaukee could be without leading scorer [Giannis Antetokounmpo](/nba/players/2067655/giannis-antetokounmpo/), who has missed the last two games with a hand injury and is questionable for this contest. Golden State is led by star guard [Steph Curry](/nba/players/1685204/stephen-curry/), who is averaging 29.6 points, 6.4 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game. Bucks](https://www.sportsline.com/nba/game-forecast/NBA_20230311_MIL@GS/). Golden State is favored by 1 point in the latest Warriors vs. Bucks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 238. The Warriors are riding a six-game home winning streak, while Milwaukee has won nine in a row on the road.
NBA odds, picks, and predictions for the Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors on March 11. NBA betting best bet and free pick analysis.
Meanwhile, the Bucks are second in the league in defensive rating while ranking fifth in scoring defense with 111.7 ppg allowed. [Golden State Warriors](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/nba/teams/main/golden-state-warriors) are just one game above .500, but this has been the most polarizing team in the league in terms of home/away splits. The Warriors had been on a five-game winning streak prior to getting back Curry, but have actually gone 0-3 SU and ATS since the two-time MVP returned to the lineup. The MVP candidate averages 31.2 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game but the Bucks have managed to go 9-5 in games he has missed this season. That said, they've been far better defensively at home. [NBA betting trends](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/nba/matchup/trends/271036) for Bucks vs. The Bucks had a 16-game winning streak snapped last Saturday, but have since bounced back with three-straight victories this week. [Jordan Poole](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/nba/players/6335/jordan-poole) (20.7 ppg), and [Klay Thompson](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/nba/players/2002/klay-thompson) (22.0 ppg). ET, I'll lay the 3.5 points with the Dubs. The Bucks have gone 19-1 straight up and 13-7 against the spread in their last 20 games, but will be missing All-NBA forward Giannis Antetokounmpo for the third-straight contest. With the superstar officially ruled out at 2:30 p.m. [NBA picks and predictions](https://www.covers.com/picks/nba) for Bucks vs.
Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30pm (central)
[BreakingT](https://breakingt.com/collections/milwaukee-basketball?rfsn=1257767.3e164c) [fuboTV](https://go.redirectingat.com?id=66960X1516590&xs=1&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fubo.tv%2Flp%2Fsports%2F%3Firad%3D343747%26irmp%3D482924%26sharedid%3DBrewHoop&referrer=sbnation.com&sref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.brewhoop.com%2F2023%2F3%2F11%2F23635238%2Fbucks-vs-warriors-game-thread-milwaukee-golden-state-nba-march-11-2023) [Support our site!](https://www.sbnation.com/pages/guiding-principles) [Milwaukee Bucks](https://www.brewhoop.com) are on the road, stopping first in the Bay Area to take on the [Golden State Warriors](https://www.goldenstateofmind.com). [Disney+](https://disneyplus.bn5x.net/c/482924/707629/9358?sharedid=BrewHoop) [ESPN+](http://go.web.plus.espn.com/c/482924/555830/9070?sharedid=BrewHoop)
The Milwaukee Bucks head to San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors in a heavyweight showdown.
109.7 (1st) 33.0% (1st) 10.6 (1st) [ NBA odds ](https://online.northstarbets.ca/page?key=ej0xMzUzNDc2MiZsPTEzNTM0OTEwJnA9MTc2OTk%3D) as of 3:41 p.m. Milwaukee also isn’t great at keeping opposing shooting guards off the glass. The Bucks allow the fifth-most rebounds per game to that position (6.54). Mike Budenholzer’s squad routinely locks down the perimeter and that’s especially true against opposing point guards. [according to Fantasy Pros](https://www.fantasypros.com/daily-fantasy/nba/fanduel-defense-vs-position.php). We’re also backing Klay Thompson on the glass and expect Jrue Holiday to step up with Giannis Antetokounmpo sidelined. The Bucks allow the third-fewest 3-pointers to PGs per game (2.27), Opponent 3PM/game Opponent 3PT %
Visit ESPN for the game recap of the Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors NBA basketball game on March 11, 2023.
“I think I got more about that in the locker room than any shot I made tonight, which speaks for itself.” [Khris Middleton](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/6609/khris-middleton) had 19 points and five assists, [Bobby Portis](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/3064482/bobby-portis) contributed 15 points and 13 rebounds and [Brook Lopez](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/3448/brook-lopez) 19 points, seven boards and five blocks. “Some of them were high level.” [Donte DiVincenzo](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/3934673/donte-divincenzo) had 20 points and 10 rebounds and the Warriors won at home for the seventh in a row and 11th in 12. [Mike Budenholzer](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/1468/mike-budenholzer) said of Curry. I thought we competed the entire time,” coach Steve Kerr said. [Draymond Green](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/6589/draymond-green) said. [Klay Thompson](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/6475/klay-thompson) on the other end moments later led to a tying layup by Curry before Holiday delivered. [Jrue Holiday](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/3995/jrue-holiday) in the closing moments. “I thought we were really solid for most of the night.” [Golden State Warriors](http://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/gs/golden-state-warriors) past the NBA-best [Milwaukee Bucks](http://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/mil/milwaukee-bucks) 125-116 on Saturday night. [Giannis Antetokounmpo](http://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/3032977/giannis-antetokounmpo), had their three-game winning streak snapped with just their second defeat in 21 games since Jan.
Stephen Curry came through when it mattered most, leading the Warriors to a thrilling 125-116 overtime victory over the Bucks on Saturday at Chase ...
Portland in overtime (Draymond Green with 11, Looney had 10 and Kevin Durant with 10), according to the Elias Sports Bureau. Tonight marked his third double-double of the season, including his fourth outing of 20-plus points and third game with double-figure rebounds… In transition after a Bucks turnover, Curry finished at the rim to knot the game at 108. The Warriors 14 points marked the most they have scored in an overtime period this season (prev. the Bucks and seven of the last 10 games played in the Bay Area. Donte DiVincenzo (4) and JaMychal Green (3) combined to hit seven 3-pointers in that span and were the only players in double figures at the break (13 points for Green; 12 points for DiVincenzo). They know how to do it and they got it done tonight against probably the best team in the league. Curry is averaging a career-best 8.2 points per game in the fourth quarter and lead the Dubs to their second overtime win this season. Klay Thompson scored 11 of his 22 points in the third, including a series of back-to-back 3-pointers. Curry had nine more points in overtime on 3-for-4 shooting, and his sixth 3-pointer of the night capped a 9-2 run to start the extra period. He also recorded his third double-double of the season and the first of his career with 20 or more points. Down by eight with two minutes remaining in the fourth quarter, Stephen Curry went on a personal 8-0 run to tie the game at 108-108.