The Toronto Maple Leafs wrap up a busy weekend with a road date against the Chicago Blackhawks.
Under 6.5 goals (-107): Chicago should contribute very little to this game total considering how anemic the squad’s offence is, while it’s worth noting Toronto’s home-road splits on offence. They’re also receiving quality play between the pipes, sitting third in team save percentage (.949) in the same time period. This matchup is about as hard as it gets for the struggling Blackhawks. No team has fewer points than the Blackhawks, and they’re playing to their billing in recent outings. The Blackhawks aren’t generating a whole lot of offence, putting a pair of unders in play. We’re still expecting a lopsided game against bottom-dwelling Chicago.
NHL odds, picks, and predictions for the Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks on February 19. NHL betting best bet and free pick analysis.
Chicago is a tough team to gauge in regards to handicapping the total, as it is one of the few squads in the league that struggles to both score and shut down opposing offenses. Possessing a terrible blueline, Chicago ranks second-to-last in the league in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. First of all, -300 is just way too much juice to lay on a side in an NHL game. Based on his underlying metrics, brighter days are unlikely, as Mrazek ranks third-to-last among starting goaltenders in goals saved above expected per 60 minutes (GSAx/60) at 5-on-5. As mentioned above, 19 of their last 21 losses have come by at least a two-goal margin. Through 25 starts, Mrazek is 6-15-2 with a .885 save percentage (SV%) and 3.95 goals against average (GAA). [NHL betting trends](https://www.covers.com/sport/hockey/nhl/matchup/trends/269434) for Maple Leafs vs Blackhawks. Of those 21 losses, 19 have come by at least a two-goal margin, a trend that is likely to continue in this matchup. They’re also a miserable 5-48 in their last 53 games against teams with a winning % above .600. These two clubs most recently squared off on Wednesday, with Toronto grabbing a 5-2 victory on home ice. In front of Samsonov is a strong two-way team that ranks in the top-eight of the league in both expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) and xGA/60 at 5-on-5. [NHL picks and predictions](https://www.covers.com/picks/nhl) for Maple Leafs vs Blackhawks on Sunday, February 19.
Toronto Maple Leafs defenceman Rasmus Sandin has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Chicago Blackhawks after sustaining minor injuries against the ...
On Wednesday, a game between a team that remains up near the top of the league standings and a team toiling at the bottom went exactly as expected, with Toronto ...
[New York Rangers](https://www.blueshirtbanter.com) a week ago. [Columbus Blue Jackets](https://www.jacketscannon.com) and [Anaheim Ducks](https://www.anaheimcalling.com) share a slightly lower points percentage at .357, compared to the Hawks’ .361. The [Minnesota Wild](https://www.hockeywilderness.com) also jumped in, grabbing a fourth-round pick while retaining some of O’Reilly’s salary to make the deal work. Louis in exchange for forward Mikhail Ambramov, old friend Adam Gaudette (RIP to the #GaudetteGang) and a trio of draft picks: a 2023 first, a 2024 second and a 2023 third. 55.6% (1st) — Faceoffs — 52.2% (7th) 18.0% (26th) — Power play — 25.4% (4th) 2.40 (32nd) — Goals per game — 3.35 (8th) Louis Blues](https://www.stlouisgametime.com). 43.04% (32nd) — Corsi For — 51.64% (8th) 40.88% (31st) — Expected goals for — 54.09% (4th) From a Blackhawks perspective, that trade takes away another possible destination for Patrick Kane. The deal loads up Toronto’s forward depth even more, with O’Reilly sure to help shore up some of the Leafs’ defensive deficiencies.
The quick and dirty lineup notes: Ilya Samsonov has recovered enough from his illness to start tonight, but Rasmus Sandin picked up a bump in last night's win ...
I can see the focus and creativity they both have, and the tenaciousness they have. There is a ton of work that has to happen still, but it is rejuvenating to be around that kind of energy. It was good to get that one out of the way. For me, it is fun to be a part of it. Everything from having a true faceoff man to a versatile player who is very good down the middle of the ice, whether that is net-front or as the bumper… The quick and dirty lineup notes: Ilya Samsonov has recovered enough from his illness to start tonight, but Rasmus Sandin picked up a bump in last night’s win and will be replaced on the blue line by Conor Timmins.
A win is a win, and Friday night's win surely felt good. Even so, Chicago's pedestrian season has resulted in seven defeats in the last 10 games. The 5-1 ...
Sam Lafferty (10th) startled Ottawa with a breakaway, shorthanded goal before Patrick Kane (11th) score again to send the game to overtime. They flipped the script of Wednesday’s defeat to the Leafs by scoring a surprisingly early goal rather than coughing one up. Toronto was far and away the better side, operating like the machine they can be when they play their game. If one considers the talent and statistical discrepancies between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs, then defeating Montreal 5-1 shouldn’t mean much. The result improved Toronto’s win streak over the Illinois club to three games. Two goals were shared apiece within minutes, but it was only a tease as the Leafs dominated the rest of the way, winning 5-2.
Today's second set of NHL Predictions features an old-time NHL rivalry with the Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks.
[battle for Bedard](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/2023/01/24/connor-bedard-2023-nhl-draft-scouting-report/) between the [Columbus Blue Jackets](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/category/bluejackets/) and [Arizona Coyotes](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/category/coyotes/). [Winnipeg Jets](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/category/jets/) and the [New Jersey Devils](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/category/devils/). [Jack Hughes](https://www.hockey-reference.com/search/search.fcgi?pid=hugheja03,hugheja02&search=Jack+Hughes&utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) [has returned](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/2023/02/09/new-jersey-devils-announced-jack-hughes-out-week-to-week/) and [Nico Hischier](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/h/hischni01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) scored twice in the victory. [Connor Ingram](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/i/ingraco01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) has played well in his last two games in goal. [Elvis Merzlikins](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/m/merzlel01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) should start with the Jackets playing on back-to-back nights. [Mark Scheifele](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/s/scheima01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) leads the team in goals scored with 32. [Petr Mrazek](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/m/mrazepe01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) will be the likely starter for the Blackhawks, who did win over the [ Ottawa Senators](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/category/senators/) the last time out. [Montreal Canadiens](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/category/canadiens/). [Mackenzie Blackwood](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/b/blackma01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) will probably get the call in goal with the Devils playing on back-to-back nights. [Connor Hellebuyck](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/h/helleco01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) is currently listed as the starter, but the Jets will play the Rangers on Monday night. [Ryan O’Reilly](https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/o/oreilry01.html?utm_medium=linker&utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&utm_campaign=2023-02-19_hr) picked up an assist in [his first game with the club](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/2023/02/17/st-louis-blues-trade-ryan-oreilly/) and he also won 12 faceoffs. This team will [likely have a fire sale](https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/2023/02/15/nhl-rumours-chicago-blackhawks-sam-lafferty-trade-bait/) at the deadline to gather assets for the lengthy rebuild.
Chicago Blackhawks star Patrick Kane needed just over half of Sunday's game against the Toronto Maple Leafs to complete a hat trick.
He now has 14 goals and 26 assists for 40 points in 52 games. The third goal was confirmed after a video review as Kane shot the puck from behind the net off Leafs goalie Ilya Samsonov. “We’re not thinking about that.
Kane, a pending unrestricted free agent, now has five goals in his last two games.
Kane has collected 41 points (14 goals, 27 assists) in 52 games with the Blackhawks this season. Less than three minutes after his second tally, Kane banked a shot off of Maple Leafs goaltender Ilya Samsonov to record the ninth hat trick of his career. Kane opened the scoring in the first period off a feed from Max Domi to make it 1–0 at the 10:44 mark.
Following last Wednesday's 5–2 loss in Toronto, the Chicago Blackhawks had to wait to just four days to face the Maple Leafs in a rematch at United Center.
— At 11:42, the Hawks regained the lead at 4–3 when Cole Guttman scored his first NHL goal. — The Blackhawks and Leafs traded chances in the first half of the opening frame, including over four minutes without a whistle. Following last Wednesday’s 5–2 loss in Toronto, the Chicago Blackhawks had to wait to just four days to face the Maple Leafs in a rematch at United Center.