FOMC

2023 - 2 - 1

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Image courtesy of "Zee Business"

FOMC Meeting 2023 LIVE Updates: Wall Street nervousness spills ... (Zee Business)

The 12-member committee is likely to tone down pace of interest rate hike, a glimpse of which was seen in the December Montary Policy where the US Central ...

The two-year yield, which tends to move more on expectations of Fed actions, rose to 4.27% from 4.20%. The central bank's next decision on rates is coming Wednesday, and most investors expect it to announce an increase of just 0.25 percentage points. But job cuts may be starting to spread to other areas of the economy. The big question is whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell will give what markets want to hear? Beyond interest rates, more than 100 companies in the S&P 500 are scheduled this week to report how much profit they made in the last three months of 2022. Because these companies are three of the four biggest on Wall Street by market value, their stock movements carry much more sway on the S&P 500 than others. The two-day meeting will be followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell where he is expected to announce a 25bps interest rate hike along with guidance on inflation and US GDP. Even the CME fed watch tool indicates more than 99% probability of 25 bps rate hike in the February meeting That's an indication that the strong January enjoyed by the S&P 500 so far is more about improving sentiment on Wall Street than about better fundamentals, strategist Savita Subramanian wrote. Government will also give its latest monthly update on the job market. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 3.53 per cent from 3.51 percent late Friday. The rally in index was supported by ICICI Bank, ITC and State Bank of India (SBI).

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It's a FOMC day (FXStreet)

Currencies and metals turn around on Tuesday! Memo to traders: There's a shortage of Copper. Good Day… And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! And.. Welcome.

Gold price has gained traction and advanced to the $1,930 area on Wednesday. The ADP Employment report for last month is due to print, and is expected to show employment dropped in January. Chuck thinks that the Bond Boys think they have it all figured out, what the FOMC is going to do going forward, and I mentioned Addison Wiggin the best selling author, and producer of I.O.U.S.A, on Monday, and then yesterday he sent me an essay by Adam Baratta that talks about the debt in the U.S. and the yield on the 10-year slipped to 3.50%. Bloomberg is on the story: “Schoolhouse Rock” began with math but branched out to other topics, such as civics, grammar and science. All the rot in the currencies and metals got turned around in the U.S. [Oil](https://www.fxstreet.com/markets/commodities/energy/oil), which was barely hanging onto the $77 handle, gained $2, on the day and ended the day trading with a $79 handle! But the end is near, and the markets are feeling that... Gold which was down $20 in the early trading on Tuesday, came back to post a gain of $ 5.20, and Silver, which was down 48-cents, turned it around to 13 -cents gain… of which I have at least 3 games that have sold, and I can’t deliver the tickets! I’m currently having to deal with a problem between MLB and Stub Hub, where the barcodes won’t load on Stub Hub, which makes it impossible to deliver tickets that have been sold…

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Image courtesy of "USA TODAY"

Fed interest rate decision today live: Federal Reserve expected to ... (USA TODAY)

The FOMC meeting is today. Follow along for live updates leading up to the interest rate decision and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's news conference.

] [The Fed's next meeting is from March 21 to 22.] [Fed 2023 meeting schedule ] [Here are the] [ remaining meetings ](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/12/13/federal-reserve-2023-meeting-schedule/10887436002/)for the year: ] [To see how the Fed's rate hikes have impacted other areas of the economy like home sales, the stock market and more be sure to read Jim Sergent's ] [piece](https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/graphics/2023/01/31/fed-rate-hikes-jobs-housing-stock-market/11105988002/). [Super Bowl favorites like guacamole, chicken wings will cost less this year](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2023/01/30/super-bowl-food-inflation/11129278002/) [How Fed rate hikes impact credit card rates] [The interest rates banks charge on their credit cards are tied to the prime rate, which is tightly linked to the Fed funds rate. ] [The] [ latest CPI report](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2023/01/12/cpi-report-data-release-gas-prices-inflation-december-2022/11034854002/) found prices for goods and services were 6.5% higher than a year ago. [They're on the rise as homebuyers cope with high interest rates](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/personalfinance/real-estate/2023/01/22/mortgage-rate-buydown-lower-interest-rates/11077611002/) [Fed already has January jobs report data ] [The first jobs report of the year is due on Friday. However, they've come down from a November peak of over 7%, the highest level since 2002.] [The fall in mortgage rates is ] [spurring demand from homebuyers](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/personalfinance/real-estate/2023/01/18/mortgage-interest-rate-dip-real-estate/11076367002/), USA TODAY's Bailey Schulz reported citing recent data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. [See how much fed interest rates have affected how much you pay](https://www.usatoday.com/story/graphics/2023/02/01/interest-rates-mortgage-rates-auto-loans-increased/11153068002/) [Fed rate hike announcement time] [The Fed's decision on interest rates comes out at 2 p.m. Four of the seven hikes were in 75 basis-point hikes, two were 50 basis-point hikes and one was a 25 basis-point hike.] [Bitcoin price ] [Bitcoin is down slightly this morning. Another seat is filled by the President of the New York Fed and the remaining four seats are a rotating group of presidents from the 11 other regional Fed banks. The FOMC is a group of 12 people who vote on interest rate decisions.] The central bank is expected to raise its short-term interest rate by a quarter percentage point, a slowing of last year's aggressive pace of hikes. Over the course of 2022, the Fed passed four 75-basis-point rate hikes.

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Image courtesy of "The Wall Street Journal"

Fed Meeting Today: Interest Rates Hiked a Quarter Point; Dow ... (The Wall Street Journal)

Lindsey M. Piegza, Stifel: "While recession risks remain, particularly as the consumer continues to lose momentum, for the Fed, emerging weakness should not ...

Although the FOMC might be inclined to adjust this language as it approaches a pause, doing so at this meeting has little upside and risks widening the gap between the market and the Fed, while also leading to an undesirable easing of financial conditions.”\n\nJoseph Brusuelas, RSM US LLP: “While we think it’s premature to engage in a strategic pause to restore price stability it is likely that it will soon be the case…Given the Fed’s likely deceleration in its rate hike campaign we think the first opportunity to put in place such a pause will be following the April meeting which implies a 25-basis point hike in March and then in April.” \n\nIan Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics: “A wholesale retreat from the Fed’s hawkishness is unlikely; that will have to wait until the March meeting, by which time the Fed will have seen two more rounds of the key growth and inflation data.”\n\nMatthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank: “The statement is likely to keep the reference to "ongoing" rate hikes. Remember, the Fed is intentionally trying to slow the economy."

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Image courtesy of "WION"

US FOMC (Fed) Meeting 2023 Today: Check time & expected hike ... (WION)

US fed rate hike latest update: The stage is set for the first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting slated to be held on January 31-February 1, ...

The Fed won’t cut interest rates until and unless inflation in the US gets under control. The US Fed earlier resorted to a modest interest rate hike of 50 basis point increase in December after 4 consecutive interest rate hikes of 75 basis points. US fed rate hike latest update: The stage is set for the first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting slated to be held on January 31-February 1, 2023.

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Image courtesy of "FOREX.com"

Russell: US indices look to extend gains as FOMC decision looms (FOREX.com)

The market has been quick to dismiss the Fed's hawkishness and price in a lower terminal interest rate in recent meetings...

Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. Interestingly, and despite more signs emerging that the US is potentially heading into a recession, small-cap and domestically focused stocks rallied to send the Russell index above a key resistance zone. If that’s the case, we may see follow-up technical buying towards the August 2022 high at around 2032 in the days to come. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is likely to keep further hikes on the table and lean against bets they will cut later this year, something which may get interpreted as being hawkish. Yesterday saw the major US indices recover strongly after being lower on the session. US index futures have held onto the gains made yesterday with the dollar remaining undermined against the euro, pound and yen. If this is the case, it would mark another downward step after the 50 basis points in December, following four 75 basis-point hikes earlier last year.

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Image courtesy of "ForexLive"

Two ways the FOMC can trigger a bullish reaction today - MUFG (ForexLive)

"There are really only two ways for the FOMC to trigger a clear hawkish reaction by the financial markets – either by hiking by 50bps and suggesting more is ...

[Get it here](https://plus.efxdata.com/ad/track/4655172E54F06040571CD0AB083845AD). [check out eFX Plus](https://plus.efxdata.com/ad/track/4655172E54F06040571CD0AB083845AD). "The first option is just too aggressive and is very unlikely given the flow of data since the December meeting.

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FOMC Hikes Rates 25 bps As Expected, Leaves Open Further Hike ... (DailyFX)

FOMC, Dollar, S&P 500, ECB and BOE Rate Decision Talking Points: · The Federal Reserve hiked its benchmark rate 25bps to a range of 4.50 – 4.75 percent · The US ...

Fed Fund futures are pricing in a 4.90 percent rate through the June contract, which is a premium to the three largest counterparts: ECB (3.17), the BOE (4.39) and of course the BOJ (0.11). If the tighter conditions lead to a recession, the second round effect on investor confidence should not be missed as a by-product of monetary policy. Taking a bigger picture look at monetary policy rates across the globe, it is important to remember where the Fed sits in the global spectrum. However, that decline was sharply reversed without hitting any critical technical levels as investors looking for greater clarification on the path forward.Ultimately, through both hawkish and dovish remarks from the head of the Federal Reserve, the equity market drew upon the more supportive remarks pushing the S&P 500 to its highest levels since September above 4,100. The increase was a further step down in pace from the 50 bp increase in December and the 75 bp hike in November – following a stretch of four consecutive such heavy hikes. [Federal Open Market Committee](https://www.dailyfx.com/fomc) (FOMC) announced a 25 basis point increase in its benchmark rate range to 4.50 – 4.75 percent.

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Image courtesy of "FW Business"

Feb. 1 - PNC's Gus Faucher: FOMC raises federal funds rate by 25 ... (FW Business)

PNC expects the U.S. economy to enter into recession over the next few months, which would deter the FOMC from raising the fed funds rate beyond the committee's ...

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

Updates on FOMC Rate Decision Today, Chair Jerome Powell's ... (Bloomberg)

Updates on FOMC Rate Decision Today, Chair Jerome Powell's News Conference · Fed hikes rate by 25 basis points, signals more coming · Powell says policy to stay ...

- The S&P 500 jumped more than 1% after Powell said the “disinflation process has started.” Treasuries also rallied and the dollar slumped as traders absorbed Powell’s remarks. Powell in his press conference all but ratified that as the current plan, saying it would take a “couple more” hikes to get to an appropriately restrictive policy. - The FOMC raised the benchmark rate by 25 basis points, as expected, to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%.

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FOMC Meeting Recap: Powell Not Hawkish Enough, Traders Price ... (Action Forex)

Today's Fed meeting was always going to be more about what Jerome Powell and Company were saying rather than about what they were doing…

Gold is rallying 12 points on the day to $1958 and the broad US indices are in rally mode, highlighted by a 1.5% gain in the Nasdaq 100. Meanwhile, his repeated focus on “core services ex-housing” provides a clear inflation metric for traders to watch to evaluate whether what the central bank will do in the coming months. The US dollar is falling by a 50-100 pips against all of its major rivals. Separately, the statement also noted that inflation has “eased somewhat” but still remains elevated, reflecting the committee’s view that there is still more work to be done to ensure price pressures have fully faded. - WE WILL REQUIRE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE EVIDENCE TO BE CONFIDENT THAT INFLATION IS ON A DOWNWARD TREND. As Bloomberg Fed reporter Steve Matthews noted, “you can’t have one ‘increases.’”

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Policy change from the FOMC to set the stage for a more prolonged ... (FXStreet)

“Markets are embracing our longheld forecast that the US central bank will be forced to lower interest rates in H2 2023. It would be a mistake for the Fed to ...

The BoE will announce its interest rate decision at 12:00 GMT this ‘Super Thursday’, publishing the Minutes of the meeting and Monetary Policy Report (MPR) alongside. The rally of these altcoins can be attributed to the volatility generated by the interest rate decision and the Fed’s policy meeting that took place on Wednesday. Gold price is sitting at the best levels seen in the last ten months above $1,950, as bulls take a breather after two back-to-back days of solid gains. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. The pair is sitting at the highest level in 10 months, as the US Dollar licks the dovish Fed decision-inflicted wounds. That said, the Dollar looks oversold at this stage and we think a temporary rebound is possible in the coming weeks, as we have not yet confirmed a change in the Fed's policy direction.” The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. It would be a mistake for the Fed to persists in raising its key rate well beyond the current level and holding it there for an extended period if inflation continues to surprise on the downside.” FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. The greenback continues to weaken in the new year.

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Image courtesy of "IG Bank"

US dollar slammed post FOMC as markets test fed resolve (IG Bank)

The US Dollar slide has continued after the New York close post the Fed hiking rates and Powell putting a dovish tilt in the mindset of the market.

Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. The mere mention of the word seems to have triggered a serotonin surge for equities and bonds. The DXY index*, a benchmark measure of the US dollar, has hit a nine-month low. This aspect of his comments appears to have gained the most traction for markets. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. The market is pricing in a peak near 4.9%. He made it clear that it is an issue for congress and not something that Fed can tackle. This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis.

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