Goldman Sachs recession

2022 - 5 - 16

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Image courtesy of "Fortune"

Goldman Sachs calculates a worst-case recession forecast as ... (Fortune)

On cue, global stocks and U.S. futures sank on Monday morning, with Bitcoin price tumbling below $30000.

Meanwhile, on Tuesday and Wednesday, investors will get the latest quarterly results from retail giants Home Depot, Lowe's, Walmart and Target. The base case is for the benchmark to close out 2022 at 4,300, a near-7% premium over Friday's close. Wall Street will be tuning into tomorrow's retail data numbers to see if the consumer truly is holding back on spending. Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman's former CEO, and current senior chairman, appears to be banking on the latter scenario. Hatzius, it should be noted, did not mention the R-word in his team's report. The worst case is far bleaker.

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Image courtesy of "WION"

Goldman Sachs predicts recession in US, calls it 'very, very high risk' (WION)

Goldman Sachs Senior Chairman Lloyd Blankfein remarks come after the firm cut the US growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023.

Goldman’s economic team expects US gross domestic product to expand 2.4 per cent this year, down from 2.6 per cent. (With inputs from agencies) (With inputs from agencies)

Ex-Goldman CEO Blankfein says recession possibility is 'very high ... (CTV News)

Former Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein said on Sunday he believes the economy is at risk of possibly going into a recession, as the U.S. Federal Reserve ...

It's hard to finely tune them, and it's hard to see the effects of them quickly enough to alter it, but I think they're responding well. Speaking on "Face the Nation" on CBS, Blankfein said a recession is "a very, very high risk factor." Former Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein said on Sunday he believes the economy is at risk of possibly going into a recession, as the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates to tackle rising inflation.

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Americans Should Prepare For Recession, Warns Goldman Sachs ... (Livemint)

Goldman Sachs Senior Chairman Lloyd Blankfein urged companies and consumers to gird for a US recession, saying it's a “very, very high risk.".

“How comfortable are we now to rely on those supply chains that are not within the borders of the United States and we can’t control?" A recession is “not baked in the cake" and there’s a “narrow path" to avoid it, he said. With high fuel prices and a shortage of baby formula tangible measures of Americans’ unease, US consumer sentiment declined in early May to the lowest level since 2011. While the slowdown will push up unemployment, Goldman was optimistic a sharp rise in joblessness can be avoided. It's a narrow path. And there's- but, you know, there's a path.

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Goldman Sachs forecasts worse case recession as traders dump ... (Economic Times)

The worst-case scenario is far direr. It entails a full-fledged recession smashing the US economy, with stocks sliding another 10% to 3600 by the end of ...

ET hereby disclaims any and all warranties, express or implied, relating to the report and any content therein. The views expressed here are that of the respective authors/ entities and do not represent the views of Economic Times (ET). ET does not guarantee, vouch for or endorse any of its contents nor is responsible for them in any manner whatsoever. Lloyd Blankfeinappears to be betting on the latter possibility. This believes that corporations will be able to eke out profits as the economy slows. The worst-case scenario is far direr. Please take all steps necessary to ascertain that any information and content provided is correct, updated and verified.

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'Very very high risk' of recession for the US, former Goldman CEO says (Markets Insider)

Blankfein, currently senior chairman at the Wall Street banking giant, praised the Federal Reserve and said it had the ability to avert a recession.

Read more: We interviewed the CEOs of 4 of Warren Buffett's most iconic businesses. Some of the supply chain issues will go away. Others are less pessimistic, with JPMorgan and UBS acknowledging that economic pressures will persist, but don't see a full-on slowdown. "Some of this will transition away. And that's going to involve some pain," he said. Chair Jerome Powell said further half-point rate hikes would likely follow at the central bank's policy meetings in June and July, but dismissed the chances of a three-quarter point increase.

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Image courtesy of "Times of India"

US at 'very, very high risk' of recession, says Goldman Sachs ... (Times of India)

International Business News: With inflation still remaining at an elevated level, and the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates rapidly, the US ...

A recession is “not baked in the cake” and there’s a “narrow path” to avoid it, he said. “Do we feel good about getting all our semiconductors from Taiwan, which is again, an object of China.” “If I were running a big company, I would be very prepared for it,” Blankfein said on CBS’s “Face the Nation” on Sunday. “If I was a consumer, I’d be prepared for it.”

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Goldman Cuts U.S. GDP Forecasts, and Blankfein Warns of 'Very ... (Barron's)

Companies and consumers should prepare for the worst, but Fed still has 'narrow path' for recovery, says Goldman's senior chairman, Lloyd Blankfein.

- Print Article - Order Reprints Goldman Sachs economists lowered their forecasts for U.S. economic growth this year and the bank’s senior chairman, Lloyd Blankfein, warned companies and consumers to prepare for recession.

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Stock market outlook: S&P 500 to fall 11% if recession hits (Markets Insider)

If the economy avoids a recession, there is still a downside scenario where surging interest rates take a bite out of valuations, Goldman said.

The bank lowered its year-end S&P 500 price target for the third time this year to 4,300, representing potential upside of 8% from current levels. Much of Goldman's price target cut for the S&P 500 is centered around interest rates, which remain more elevated than the bank expected just a couple months ago. However, growth stocks with high margins currently trade at the same 5x enterprise value-to-sales multiple as low margin peers.

Goldman Sachs former CEO warns of recession risk (Markets Insider) (Staffing Industry Analysts)

Former Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein warned of a high risk for a US recession, calling it a high risk factor, Markets Insider reported.

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