Stock-market

2022 - 5 - 9

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

In today's environment, the notion that the stock market isn't the ... (CNBC)

The share of household wealth that comes from directly or indirectly held stocks hit a record 41.9%, more than double where it was 30 years ago. Tech companies ...

But it's probably getting ahead of itself in that regard." "So the sell-off we're seeing now strongly argues for a slowly growing economy, perhaps an economy that's flirting with recession. They want to slow the economy." For the central bank, inflation remains its main problem, and that has come from supply that has been unable to meet with relentless consumer demand for goods over services. Central bankers always have been attuned to market gyrations, but following the 2008 financial crisis, monetary policy has even more so relied on risk assets as a transmission mechanism. That's another reason why the Fed has to watch this." We've seen a really big correlation between equity prices and discretionary spending." "That's another element of the line between what's happening in the equity market and economic growth." That is no longer the case today." "If stock prices are down, it's much more difficult to raise equity. "The market is a prescient indicator of where the economy is headed, but overstates the case generally," Zandi said. Stocks and consumer confidence historically have been linked closely, so when stocks fall people tend to curtail spending.

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Image courtesy of "MarketWatch"

Wall Street's 'fear gauge' still not signaling stock-market bottom is ... (MarketWatch)

A closely watched gauge of expected volatility isn't offering signs of a stock-market bottom, analysts say.

The Nasdaq dropped 3.4%, leaving it down more than 25% year to date and trading at its lowest intraday level since November 2020. VIX futures also offer little comfort for those looking for a sign the lows are near, said Jonathan Krinsky, technical analyst at BTIG, in a Sunday note. “That really should have happened on Friday, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury ramping to 3.14% and WTI crude back to $110/barrel. But it did not, and so we continue to wait for an investable bottom.” Analysts have argued that indicates investors fear an even deeper selloff in coming months as the Fed prepares to continue tightening aggressively in an effort to rein in inflation. Stocks saw violent swings last week, soaring on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected rate increase of 50 basis points, only to give it all back and then some on Thursday as the Dow dropped more than 1,000 points. The VIX’s close on Friday at 30.2 left it in a “no-man’s land” between 28 and 36, marking 1- and 2-standard deviations from the long-run mean, he wrote.

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